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US Sets Sights on Venezuela

Are we being prepared for an invasion of Venezuela?  Here and there I’m hearing some of the same rhetoric that led up to US military intervention in the Middle East and North Africa.  We must not forget that Venezuela has the largest oil reserves in the world.  Remember my previous article when I pointed out that official US policy states the role of the military in “inter-state strategic competition”?  Control of Venezuela’s vast oil reserves would certainly give the US an advantage, and it’s the same kind of advantage we’ve been seeking for decades in the Middle East.

The term ‘failed state’ has come up repeatedly as an excuse to engage or continue wars around the world.  Often the failed state claim is conflated with an authoritarian regime that is not tamed by the US.  The general story is that such-and-such nation has or may become a ‘failed state’ and generate instability in the region or threaten peace with its neighbors; or its internal instability has created a humanitarian crisis.  Therefore, the US military must step in, eliminate or drive out the criminals controlling the populace and facilitate a transition to democracy.

This has been the story in Afghanistan, Somalia, Iraq, Syria and even Libya (though that one truly became a failed state after the NATO actions).  For most of these, the failure or threat of a failed state occurred after US military intervention and became an excuse to stay engaged.  Now, Venezuela is being referred to as a failed state.  It’s a fair point, since people are literally eating house pets, zoo animals and rats, because they cannot find bread (but at least the prices are low).  The failed state rhetoric is not new, but the coverage has been ramping up.

Last month, Nicolas Maduro was re-elected carrying 68% of the vote, but the election results were rejected by the US before the votes had been tallied, and immediately economic sanctions were laid on the already troubled country.  While I cannot make the argument that Venezuela is a fully functioning state, or that it was a free and fair election; and I won’t address the ineffectiveness of sanctions to achieve political aims (especially since Maduro claims that Venezuela’s woes are the result of economic warfare waged by the US; here’s an alternative explanation); I will point out that the election of Maduro in 2013 was also challenged by the US.  Venezuela responded to the sanctions by accusing the US Embassy of conspiracy and expelling diplomats.  Maduro did not provide an explanation, but there are $15 million dollars appropriated under the Economic Support Fund of Section 7045 of the omnibus “to promote democracy and the rule of law in Venezuela.”

I could add layers to this story ad nauseum, but the point is this:  We have seen this pattern before.  A nation led by an authoritarian is not engaged in the world economy as dictated by the WTO, either by being isolationist or protectionist, despite having a valuable natural resource.  A crisis is discovered or created.  The state falls into chaos, often forcing the leader to become more despotic to maintain order.  A humanitarian crisis is declared.  If the US government does not believe they can intervene militarily without its citizenry noticing, and there is not enough support for military intervention, the state is declared a threat.  This can come in many forms:  The crisis has created refugees that are a threat to our border, or the lack of government authority has created a haven for terrorists, or opposition that is even more unfriendly to the US may seize control, or the nation has dangerous weapons that are unaccounted for or… well, you get the point.  If none of that is enough to get Americans riled and ready to fight, there will be a chemical weapons attack or something equally outrage-worthy targeting civilians.

Then, there will be ‘no choice’ but to send the US military and oust the ruthless leader who is the cause of all this strife.  And, you may have noticed, our adventures in regime change have not worked to our advantage.  Regime change has been a topic for Venezuela under Chavez as a supporter of terrorism and during the demonstrations of 2014.  I suppose the point of all this is as a warning.  Recognize the propaganda that leads to intervention.  We cannot permit our government to engage in another aggressive war, regardless of the public excuses provided.

-M

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Congress Shirks Responsibility, Refuses to Stand in the Way of War

While the UK Parliament argued PM Theresa May should not be able to enter war without their approval, the US Congress argued why President Trump should be allowed to enter war in Syria without awaiting the Congress’ constitutional responsibility to declare war (or at least approve the action).  The US Constitution places sole authority to declare war on Congress (US Constitution, Art. 1, Sec. 8).  The President is Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces only when they have been called to service by the Legislature (US Constitution, Art. 2, Sec. 2).

Our Founders were concerned with the power of the Executive and took measures to prevent PotUS from becoming a de facto king.  The separation of war powers with the President waging war but the Congress declaring war is an important distinction.  A king, of course, has the power to both undertake and execute war, while the President has only the power to execute war.  James Madison wrote, “The constitution supposes, what the History of all Govts. demonstrates, that the Ex. is the branch of power most interested in war, & most prone to it.”

I read, yesterday, about the US’ “retaliatory” strike on Syria after the alleged chemical weapons attack.  I wonder if this would have happened if we enforced The Constitution and the 1973 War Powers Resolution.  I suspect not.  At least the last three Presidents have been elected on anti-war platforms.  G.W. Bush said he would not use the military for nation building.  Obama promised to end the wars. Trump also promised to only wage war when “absolutely necessary.”  While this is clearly ample evidence of Tom Woods’ Law (‘No matter who you vote for, you always wind up with John McCain’), I believe it is also ample evidence that the American people are not interested in expanding military action.

Herein lies the reason our Representatives and Senators are seeking to abdicate responsibility.  All of the Representatives and one-third of the Senators have elections looming.  They want your vote and the best way to get it is to not be on record with any opinion, whatsoever.  Without a vote providing unequivocal proof of their position on the conflict, they are shielded from culpability.  They can tell you whatever they think you want to hear.  Then, they have at least two more years of ignoring you.

What’s more, they can continue to collect contributions from the big defense contractors.  The defense industries spend less on both lobbying and political contributions than several other industries, such as health, education, oil, gas and utilities; but if you think that the lobbying expenditures of $16.7 million for Boeing, $14.5 million for Lockheed Martin, $12 million for Northrop Grumman and $11.5 million for General Dynamics don’t yield a return, then you just don’t understand economics.  A lot of people would like to blame these ‘evil companies,’ but they are not to blame.  They are only doing what they can to generate advantage for themselves in the market.  The Congress is to blame.

My opinion: Fire them all.  Do not vote for an incumbent.  Polls show most people approve of the job their Representatives and Senators are doing.  However, the public approval rating for Congress, as a whole, hovers around 15%.  If it seems a mathematical impossibility that so many should be satisfied with the jobs their officials are doing, it’s because it is.  The problem is that your elected federal officials are not doing as good a job as you think.  War is not the only responsibility that Congress has abdicated to the Executive.  Last year, I attended a town hall held by my current Representative, Bradley Byrne.  A question arose concerning the budget, and he responded by saying that President Trump had not delivered the budget to Congress.  That’s not PotUS’ job!  All budget bills are supposed to originate in the House of Representatives(US Constitution, Art. 1, Sec. 7).  Did you know the Senate is supposed to vote on treaties negotiated by The President, before the compact is in force (US Constitution, Art. 2, Sec. 2)?  Monetary policy is the purview of Congress, but they have abdicated that responsibility to the Federal Reserve, which is technically a private entity.

Leaving aside the legal issue of whether any branch of the federal government has the authority to transfer its responsibilities to another branch (they don’t), what is Congress doing?  Well, they spend half their time fundraising.  While they aren’t doing their constitutionally-prescribed duties, they do spend a lot of time on pointless legislation. Search congress.gov for the word ‘condemn.’ Here’s an example of what you’ll find.  Their salaries are taxpayer funded; they say they work for us.  If I spent half my work day squandering my boss’ money and performing unproductive busywork and the other half of my day asking for more money, I’m pretty sure I would not keep my job very long.  Let’s hold Congress to at least that standard.

We have elections in a few months.  It is time to make a change, as Congress seeks excuses to evade their duties.  Our Representatives have, once again, sidestepped the responsibility to represent the people and protect our investment.  The current Congress has demonstrated at best incompetence and at worst embezzlement.  Fire them all!  Personally, I don’t think the situation will improve as long as Republicans and Democrats still control our federal government; but make your own choices.  I know if we elect the same people, we’ll get the same result.

-M

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War on Terror Over?

This seems like big news, after nearly two decades and t-t-t-trillions of dollars!  Did anyone tell you?  According to the Summary of the National Defense Strategy for 2018, terrorism is no longer the primary concern for the Department of Defense.  Quoting from the introduction:  “Inter-state strategic competition, not terrorism, is now the primary concern in U.S. national security.”

What does this mean?  To quote, once again, from the introduction:  “Reinforcing America’s traditional tools of diplomacy, the Department [of Defense] provides military options to ensure the President and our diplomats negotiate from a position of strength.”  This marks a significant and unsettling divergence in official policy.  Military force is not a tool of diplomacy; it is a failure of diplomacy.

The US military has bases in approximately 70 countries and is engaged in operations in who knows how many countries.  Now, I’m not oblivious to the certainty that nearly all compacts between states are secured by force or the threat of force.  However, there is a tremendous difference between the implicit threat of militarism to enforce an existing agreement and the explicit threat of military force to influence diplomatic negotiations.  The latter is akin to suggesting that the schoolyard bully ‘negotiated’ for your lunch money.

It is the real-world implementation of ‘aggressive negotiations.’  Where does this lead in trade disputes?  It should make you re-think the escalation of a trade war with China.  If China refuses to capitulate, will the US military get involved?  How would this policy apply to less powerful countries with resources desired by the US?  If Peru disagrees with the US government about a reasonable price for the export of copper, do we continue negotiations with cruise missiles?

The suggestion should be unthinkable to a people who identify with their country as a symbol of liberty, a people who claim to believe in a free market, a people who reject the initiation of force or coercion to achieve their political and economic aims.  What has happened to Our Republic?  George Washington said in his farewell address, “Over-grown military establishments are, under any form of government, inauspicious to liberty, and are to be regarded as particularly hostile to republican liberty.”

This is the newest link in a chain of policy changes which continue to expand the role of the US military beyond physical defense of our country and further beyond the control of the people.  We have been warned of what happens to those who live by the sword.  China and Russia are not enemies; they are rivals.  If our government intends to use the military to dissuade or challenge expanding economic interests of Russia and China (in their own regions, no less), violent conflict is inevitable — they will become enemies — an outcome we should like to avoid.

President Theodore Roosevelt made the now-famous comment about US foreign policy to, “Speak softly, and carry a big stick.”  His meaning has been misconstrued over time, but Roosevelt’s emphasis was on diplomacy.  He meant that the US should be gracious in negotiations with foreign powers while maintaining the ability to defend ourselves decisively, if necessary.  Roosevelt explains further, “Whenever on any point we come in contact with a foreign power, I hope that we shall always strive to speak courteously and respectfully of that foreign power.”   Frankly, even the “speak softly” part has been forgotten.  Instead, US foreign policy has shifted to screaming at full volume, ‘My stick is bigger than yours!  Now, let’s negotiate.‘

There is a Lakota proverb:  Force, no matter how concealed, begets resistance.  The US government is providing a case study for this across North Africa and throughout the Middle East, where our military has been engaged for several decades.  The War on Terror and the Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), which was passed by Congress three days after 09/11, has been used to justify US military actions in those regions ever since, even though it only authorized military actions against those involved in the 09/11 terrorist attacks.  (As a side note, in January 2016, a more permissive AUMF was introduced by Senator Mitch McConnell with even greater latitude for justifying military action abroad.  Luckily, there has never been a vote.)  We have already been in a near-constant state of war since entering World War II.

Imagine if the US government began using competition for influence, resources or any other factor as and excuse to enter into military conflict with foreign powers.  It seems the bar is set pretty low already.  Remember when they said that the Iraq War would be paid for in oil?  How many more of those lies would we hear?  ‘Don’t worry, the war with China will be paid for in rare earth metals.‘  To make matters worse, in order to continue support for the growing military, our government would need to consume more resources, encouraging them to enter more conflicts for those resources and resulting in a faster growing military — a deadly feedback loop of destruction.

If the War on Terror is drawing to a close, the appropriate action would be to curtail militarism.  The US government should reduce military spending, pare back the domestic surveillance apparatus, bring troops home.  Rather, they are looking for another way — an openly imperialistic way — to employ the military.  Alexander Solzhenitsyn wrote, “A persistent state of war only serves as an excuse for domestic tyranny.” The American people are weary of war and becoming wary of a government which seeks to maintain a persistent state of war.

-M